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NBA Draft Lottery odds if the season ended today: Who picks No. 1?


The 2023 draft class is loaded with talent, particularly at the top where special prospects like Victor Wembanyama are waiting. Who has the best NBA Draft Lottery odds today?

Every NBA Draft brings potential stars and special talents, but the 2023 class could be unique. Victor Wembanyama, the 7-foot-5, multi-talented Frenchman, is the consensus top pick right now. But our latest NBA Draft Big Board identifies several other potential future stars, including guard Scoot Henderson, explosive twins Ausar and Amen Thompson and a slew of others.

We’re still months away from the end of the regular season and the actual NBA Draft Lottery which will lock in the order. But we can already see things taking shape and identify the teams that are likely to be picking toward the top.

Current NBA Draft lottery odds

  1. Houston Rockets — 14.0 percent
  2. Detroit Pistons — 14.0 percent
  3. Charlotte Hornets — 14.0 percent
  4. San Antonio Spurs — 12.5 percent
  5. Orlando Magic — 10.5 percent
  6. Toronto Raptors — 9.0 percent
  7. Washington Wizards — 7.5 percent
  8. New Orleans Pelicans (via Lakers) — 6.0 percent
  9. Orlando Magic (via Bulls) — 3.8 percent
  10. Portland Trail Blazers — 3.7 percent
  11. Golden State Warriors — 1.8 percent
  12. Oklahoma City Thunder — 1.7 percent
  13. Utah Jazz (via Timberwolves) — 0.8 percent
  14. Indiana Pacers — 0.7 percent

Since the NBA Draft Lottery odds were flattened at the top for the 2019 draft, the three teams with the worst records in the league have an equal chance at the No. 1 pick. Of the teams here, just three have never finished with the No. 1 pick — the Utah Jazz, the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder (including their history as the Seattle SuperSonics).

The NBA Draft Lottery will be held on May 16, 2023.

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