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Utah Jazz (-3.5)
In a meeting of the two conference leaders, the Jazz are the team to back on Wednesday night.
Utah has won 23 of its last 27 games to surge to the top of the West and build a 3.5 game lead, and wins over both Los Angeles teams last month proved that the Jazz are genuine title contenders.
They beat the 76ers 134-123 when these teams met in Utah earlier in the season, and Philadelphia’s run of five defeats in its last 10 games suggests a repeat of that result is likely here.
Under 227.5 points
Although the first meeting between these teams was high-scoring, Wednesday night’s game should be more of a defensive battle.
The 76ers have allowed an average of just 107.6 points per game over their last seven contests, five of which saw fewer than 227 total points scored.
Their ability to slow the Jazz down will be helped by the presence of Joel Embiid, who missed the first game against Utah through injury, while Embiid’s own offensive impact will likely be limited in a match-up against two-time Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert.
Joel Embiid under 28.5 points
Speaking of Embiid, the MVP contender is having an incredible season so far, averaging 29.8 points per game.
He’s had a mini slump over the last few games, though, scoring 25 points or fewer in four of his last five.
Embiid has averaged 22.3 points over his last four games against Gobert and the Jazz – never scoring more than 27 – so it’s worth betting on another relatively quiet night for him here.
Mike Conley under 15.5 points
Conley has played at an All-Star level this season but has seen his scoring dip over the past few games. He’s failed to reach 16 points in his last four and is averaging 13.7 per game over his last seven.
With their roster at full strength, the Jazz are sharing the ball around more, and Conley’s assist numbers have grown as a result. As he continues to operate more as a distributor, there’s value in betting on another low-scoring night against a good defense.
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